Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.097920 0.105875 0.114347 0.124071 0.134958 0.146816 0.160763
2024-10-13 0.082567 0.093108 0.105007 0.119543 0.136970 0.157383 0.183389
2024-10-20 0.072760 0.084437 0.098160 0.115686 0.137777 0.165121 0.202215
2024-10-27 0.065842 0.078098 0.092957 0.112608 0.138395 0.171802 0.219609
2024-11-03 0.063707 0.077207 0.094084 0.117203 0.148827 0.191809 0.256989
2024-11-10 0.062388 0.077101 0.096021 0.122806 0.160923 0.215215 0.302486
2024-11-17 0.059334 0.074432 0.094277 0.123106 0.165446 0.228099 0.333844
2024-11-24 0.055920 0.071012 0.091205 0.121176 0.166378 0.235489 0.357231
2024-12-01 0.052710 0.067645 0.087940 0.118632 0.166026 0.240655 0.377389
2024-12-08 0.049494 0.064075 0.084146 0.114982 0.163560 0.242018 0.390805
2024-12-15 0.047513 0.062113 0.082503 0.114392 0.165789 0.251270 0.420099
2024-12-22 0.045383 0.059820 0.080233 0.112649 0.165941 0.256888 0.443171
2024-12-29 0.044027 0.058690 0.079773 0.113969 0.171765 0.274067 0.494968
2025-01-05 0.041452 0.055676 0.076360 0.110393 0.169018 0.275466 0.514131
2025-01-12 0.039140 0.052934 0.073205 0.107002 0.166264 0.276492 0.532748
2025-01-19 0.037171 0.050608 0.070554 0.104244 0.164359 0.278888 0.555105
2025-01-26 0.036966 0.050912 0.071979 0.108378 0.175367 0.308620 0.652529
2025-02-02 0.036948 0.051489 0.073852 0.113409 0.188621 0.345340 0.781553
2025-02-09 0.035922 0.050448 0.073056 0.113678 0.192638 0.362524 0.861533
2025-02-16 0.034566 0.048827 0.071222 0.111947 0.192458 0.370060 0.914600
2025-02-23 0.033189 0.047118 0.069161 0.109663 0.190925 0.374177 0.958179
2025-03-02 0.031707 0.045186 0.066643 0.106382 0.187029 0.372040 0.979962
2025-03-09 0.030823 0.044180 0.065634 0.105851 0.188910 0.384589 1.059428